Seaports Activity (A)synchronicity, Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Convergence: A Panel Data Analysis

In the present paper we suggest and test a general model that aims to explain the determinants and the extent of parallel moving (i.e. the synchronization) of trading ports activities. The model adopts a macro-approach and its main constituents are a) the business cycle (GDP) convergence, b) the int...

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Main Authors: Tsamourgelis, I., Paflioti, P., Vitsounis, T.
Language:English
Published: 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://econpapers.repec.org/article/ersijmtei/v_3ai_3ay_3a2013_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a67-92.htm
http://citec.repec.org/rss/ersijmteiv_i_y_2013_i_1_p_67-92.xml
http://hdl.handle.net/11610/17089
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author Tsamourgelis, I.
Paflioti, P.
Vitsounis, T.
author_facet Tsamourgelis, I.
Paflioti, P.
Vitsounis, T.
author_sort Tsamourgelis, I.
collection DSpace
description In the present paper we suggest and test a general model that aims to explain the determinants and the extent of parallel moving (i.e. the synchronization) of trading ports activities. The model adopts a macro-approach and its main constituents are a) the business cycle (GDP) convergence, b) the intensity of trade between the countries of origin and destination, and c) the variables associated to international shipping developments. The present study makes possible the identification of distinct influences on the link between a given country’s economic and port activities influences which can traced back mainly to macro policies. The elaboration of such determinants and their relationships contribute to a better understanding of the dynamics of port throughput and facilitates infrastructure planning and strategic policy decision. The present paper’s conclusions feature a framework for modeling the relationship between ports and shipping activities. Panel data from European main ports for the period 1986-2010 were used for the empirical investigation and a dynamic panel GMM estimation technique was employed. Model simulations are conducted and provide evidence that an increase or decrease of port business cycle synchronization is a) attributed to the technical and structural characteristics of ports and, b) greatly influenced by the general macroeconomic environment.
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spelling oai:hellanicus.lib.aegean.gr:11610-170892016-10-05T00:03:20Z Seaports Activity (A)synchronicity, Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Convergence: A Panel Data Analysis Tsamourgelis, I. Paflioti, P. Vitsounis, T. Port throughput business cycle synchronization bilateral trade GDP Convergence shipping determinants In the present paper we suggest and test a general model that aims to explain the determinants and the extent of parallel moving (i.e. the synchronization) of trading ports activities. The model adopts a macro-approach and its main constituents are a) the business cycle (GDP) convergence, b) the intensity of trade between the countries of origin and destination, and c) the variables associated to international shipping developments. The present study makes possible the identification of distinct influences on the link between a given country’s economic and port activities influences which can traced back mainly to macro policies. The elaboration of such determinants and their relationships contribute to a better understanding of the dynamics of port throughput and facilitates infrastructure planning and strategic policy decision. The present paper’s conclusions feature a framework for modeling the relationship between ports and shipping activities. Panel data from European main ports for the period 1986-2010 were used for the empirical investigation and a dynamic panel GMM estimation technique was employed. Model simulations are conducted and provide evidence that an increase or decrease of port business cycle synchronization is a) attributed to the technical and structural characteristics of ports and, b) greatly influenced by the general macroeconomic environment. 2016-10-04T13:32:31Z 2016-10-04T13:32:31Z 2013 http://econpapers.repec.org/article/ersijmtei/v_3ai_3ay_3a2013_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a67-92.htm http://citec.repec.org/rss/ersijmteiv_i_y_2013_i_1_p_67-92.xml http://hdl.handle.net/11610/17089 en Default License 18 σ. application/pdf
spellingShingle Port throughput
business cycle synchronization
bilateral trade
GDP Convergence
shipping determinants
Tsamourgelis, I.
Paflioti, P.
Vitsounis, T.
Seaports Activity (A)synchronicity, Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Convergence: A Panel Data Analysis
title Seaports Activity (A)synchronicity, Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Convergence: A Panel Data Analysis
title_full Seaports Activity (A)synchronicity, Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Convergence: A Panel Data Analysis
title_fullStr Seaports Activity (A)synchronicity, Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Convergence: A Panel Data Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Seaports Activity (A)synchronicity, Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Convergence: A Panel Data Analysis
title_short Seaports Activity (A)synchronicity, Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Convergence: A Panel Data Analysis
title_sort seaports activity a synchronicity trade intensity and business cycle convergence a panel data analysis
topic Port throughput
business cycle synchronization
bilateral trade
GDP Convergence
shipping determinants
url http://econpapers.repec.org/article/ersijmtei/v_3ai_3ay_3a2013_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a67-92.htm
http://citec.repec.org/rss/ersijmteiv_i_y_2013_i_1_p_67-92.xml
http://hdl.handle.net/11610/17089
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AT vitsounist seaportsactivityasynchronicitytradeintensityandbusinesscycleconvergenceapaneldataanalysis