Academic Journal

On the Impossibility of Statistically Improving Empirical Optimization: A Second Order Stochastic Dominance Perspective.

Bibliographic Details
Title: On the Impossibility of Statistically Improving Empirical Optimization: A Second Order Stochastic Dominance Perspective.
Authors: Lam, Henry
Source: Management Science (INFORMS); Sep2026, Vol. 72 Issue 9, p8215-8245, 31p
Subject Terms: Stochastic dominance, Statistical accuracy, Mathematical regularization, Robust optimization, Empirical research, Stochastic programming, Mathematical analysis
Abstract: When the underlying probability distribution in a stochastic optimization is observed only through data, various data-driven formulations have been studied to obtain approximate optimal solutions. We show that no such formulations can, in a sense, theoretically improve the statistical quality of the solution obtained from empirical optimization. We argue this by proving that the first order behavior of the optimality gap against the oracle best solution, which includes both the bias and variance, for any data-driven solution second order stochastically dominates that from empirical optimization as long as suitable smoothness holds with respect to the underlying distribution. We demonstrate this impossibility of improvement in examples ranging across regularized optimization, distributionally robust optimization, parametric optimization, and Bayesian generalizations. We also discuss the connections of our results to other perspectives in statistics and data-driven optimization and illustrate practical implications in choosing among data-driven formulations. This paper was accepted by J. George Shanthikumar, data science. Funding: This work was supported by the National Science Foundation Division of Information and Intelligent Systems [Grant 1849280] and Division of Civil, Mechanical, and Manufacturing Innovation [Grant 1834710]. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2024.04482. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Management Science (INFORMS) is the property of INFORMS: Institute for Operations Research & the Management Sciences and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: On the Impossibility of Statistically Improving Empirical Optimization: A Second Order Stochastic Dominance Perspective.
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  Data: Management Science (INFORMS); Sep2026, Vol. 72 Issue 9, p8215-8245, 31p
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Stochastic+dominance%22">Stochastic dominance</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Statistical+accuracy%22">Statistical accuracy</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Mathematical+regularization%22">Mathematical regularization</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Robust+optimization%22">Robust optimization</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Empirical+research%22">Empirical research</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Stochastic+programming%22">Stochastic programming</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Mathematical+analysis%22">Mathematical analysis</searchLink>
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  Data: When the underlying probability distribution in a stochastic optimization is observed only through data, various data-driven formulations have been studied to obtain approximate optimal solutions. We show that no such formulations can, in a sense, theoretically improve the statistical quality of the solution obtained from empirical optimization. We argue this by proving that the first order behavior of the optimality gap against the oracle best solution, which includes both the bias and variance, for any data-driven solution second order stochastically dominates that from empirical optimization as long as suitable smoothness holds with respect to the underlying distribution. We demonstrate this impossibility of improvement in examples ranging across regularized optimization, distributionally robust optimization, parametric optimization, and Bayesian generalizations. We also discuss the connections of our results to other perspectives in statistics and data-driven optimization and illustrate practical implications in choosing among data-driven formulations. This paper was accepted by J. George Shanthikumar, data science. Funding: This work was supported by the National Science Foundation Division of Information and Intelligent Systems [Grant 1849280] and Division of Civil, Mechanical, and Manufacturing Innovation [Grant 1834710]. Supplemental Material: The online appendix and data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2024.04482. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Management Science (INFORMS) is the property of INFORMS: Institute for Operations Research & the Management Sciences and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1287/mnsc.2024.04482
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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        PageCount: 31
        StartPage: 8215
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Stochastic dominance
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Statistical accuracy
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Mathematical regularization
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Robust optimization
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      – SubjectFull: Empirical research
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      – SubjectFull: Stochastic programming
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      – SubjectFull: Mathematical analysis
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              M: 09
              Text: Sep2026
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