Academic Journal

SHAP-Backed Hybrid Ensemble Model for Rice and Wheat Forecasting in Data-Scarce Environments.

Λεπτομέρειες βιβλιογραφικής εγγραφής
Τίτλος: SHAP-Backed Hybrid Ensemble Model for Rice and Wheat Forecasting in Data-Scarce Environments.
Συγγραφείς: Negi, Harendra Singh, Dimri, Sushil Chandra
Πηγή: International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering & Management Sciences; Jun2026, Vol. 11 Issue 3, p1395-1423, 29p
Θεματικοί όροι: Ensemble learning, Shapley Additive Explanations, Agricultural forecasts, Precision farming, Machine learning, Random forest algorithms
Γεωγραφικοί όροι: Uttarakhand (India)
Περίληψη: As the issue of agricultural sustainability has continued to increase, there has been a need to use data based solutions to improve agricultural productivity. This paper proposes a machine learning system combining Random Forest and XGBoost to combine prediction-forecasting crop yield and classification of crop type rice and wheat in Indian state of Uttarakhand. The model is tested using a library of 6, 000 samples containing 12 soil and climatic characteristics and measured on regression and classification quality. The hybrid ensemble with hyperparameter optimization and verified on the basis of 10-fold cross-validation performed better than single base learners in all measures. It achieved a classification accuracy of 96.3 and R² = 0.927. Statistically significant developments that were formed using paired t-tests were set at p = 0.05. The SHAP and ablation analysis found out nitrogen, rainfall, and pH as the most influential features. The forecasted framework provides a better generalizability, interpretability, and computational effectiveness, which is appropriate to be applied in the designs of real life in precision agronomy. The new result is novel, interpretable, and high-performative to crop yield intelligence in data-scarce areas and provides a contribution to this study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering & Management Sciences is the property of Ram Arti Publishers and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Βάση Δεδομένων: Complementary Index
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  Data: SHAP-Backed Hybrid Ensemble Model for Rice and Wheat Forecasting in Data-Scarce Environments.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Negi%2C+Harendra+Singh%22">Negi, Harendra Singh</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Dimri%2C+Sushil+Chandra%22">Dimri, Sushil Chandra</searchLink>
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  Data: International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering & Management Sciences; Jun2026, Vol. 11 Issue 3, p1395-1423, 29p
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subject Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Ensemble+learning%22">Ensemble learning</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Shapley+Additive+Explanations%22">Shapley Additive Explanations</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Agricultural+forecasts%22">Agricultural forecasts</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Precision+farming%22">Precision farming</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Machine+learning%22">Machine learning</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Random+forest+algorithms%22">Random forest algorithms</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Uttarakhand+%28India%29%22">Uttarakhand (India)</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: As the issue of agricultural sustainability has continued to increase, there has been a need to use data based solutions to improve agricultural productivity. This paper proposes a machine learning system combining Random Forest and XGBoost to combine prediction-forecasting crop yield and classification of crop type rice and wheat in Indian state of Uttarakhand. The model is tested using a library of 6, 000 samples containing 12 soil and climatic characteristics and measured on regression and classification quality. The hybrid ensemble with hyperparameter optimization and verified on the basis of 10-fold cross-validation performed better than single base learners in all measures. It achieved a classification accuracy of 96.3 and R² = 0.927. Statistically significant developments that were formed using paired t-tests were set at p = 0.05. The SHAP and ablation analysis found out nitrogen, rainfall, and pH as the most influential features. The forecasted framework provides a better generalizability, interpretability, and computational effectiveness, which is appropriate to be applied in the designs of real life in precision agronomy. The new result is novel, interpretable, and high-performative to crop yield intelligence in data-scarce areas and provides a contribution to this study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: Abstract
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering & Management Sciences is the property of Ram Arti Publishers and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
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    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.33889/IJMEMS.2026.11.3.057
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 29
        StartPage: 1395
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Uttarakhand (India)
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Ensemble learning
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Shapley Additive Explanations
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Agricultural forecasts
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Precision farming
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Machine learning
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Random forest algorithms
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: SHAP-Backed Hybrid Ensemble Model for Rice and Wheat Forecasting in Data-Scarce Environments.
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            NameFull: Negi, Harendra Singh
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          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 06
              Text: Jun2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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            – TitleFull: International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering & Management Sciences
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