Academic Journal
The Effect of the Great Recession on U.S. Fertility: Causal Estimates From a Novel Cohort Discontinuity Design.
| Title: | The Effect of the Great Recession on U.S. Fertility: Causal Estimates From a Novel Cohort Discontinuity Design. |
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| Authors: | Wu LL; Department of Sociology, New York University, New York, NY, USA., Mark NDE; Department of Sociology, University of Wisconsin‒Madison, Madison, WI, USA., Hill J; Department of Applied Statistics, New York University, New York, NY, USA. |
| Source: | Demography [Demography] 2026 Jun 01; Vol. 63 (3), pp. 813-841. |
| Publication Type: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
| Journal Info: | Publisher: Duke University Press Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 0226703 Publication Model: Print Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1533-7790 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00703370 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Demography Subsets: MEDLINE |
| Imprint Name(s): | Publication: 2021- : Durham, NC : Duke University Press Original Publication: Washington, etc., Population Assn. of America. |
| MeSH Terms: | Birth Rate*/trends , Birth Rate*/ethnology , Economic Recession* , Fertility*, Adult ; Female ; Humans ; Middle Aged ; Black or African American ; Cohort Studies ; United States ; White |
| Abstract: | This article presents causal effects of the Great Recession on U.S. fertility. Effects are identified using a new cohort discontinuity design. The design identifies effects for single-year cohorts of women, as well as for single-year cohorts of White and Black women. Estimated effects are negative for U.S. women born in the period 1964‒1992. Negative effects are largest for younger cohorts and for Black women. (Copyright © 2026 The Authors.) |
| Contributed Indexing: | Keywords: Average and heterogeneous treatment effects; Cohort discontinuity identification strategy; Cohort fertility; Fertility and the business cycle; Great Recession |
| Entry Date(s): | Date Created: 20260611 Date Completed: 20260629 Latest Revision: 20260702 |
| Update Code: | 20260702 |
| DOI: | 10.1215/00703370-12664250 |
| PMID: | 42273970 |
| Database: | MEDLINE |
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