Λεπτομέρειες βιβλιογραφικής εγγραφής
| Τίτλος: |
Democratisation and carbon emissions: evidence from political regime transitions. |
| Συγγραφείς: |
SenGupta, Swapnanil1 (AUTHOR) senguptaswapnanil1@gmail.com, Debnath, Mridula1 (AUTHOR) |
| Πηγή: |
Economics of Governance. 9/18/2026, Vol. 27 Issue 1, p1-31. 31p. |
| Θεματικοί όροι: |
*Economic impact, *Ecological impact, Democratization, Carbon emissions, Historical analysis, Causal inference |
| Περίληψη: |
This paper examines whether democratisation has a robust average effect on aggregate territorial carbon emissions. Using a country-year dataset covering 183 countries over 1960–2010, we compare countries that experience democratic transitions or reversals with those that remain non-democratic throughout the period. The empirical strategy combines heterogeneous difference-in-differences with mean-group estimation and constructs common proxies from never-democracies to account for non-parallel emissions trends, global shocks, and country-specific responses. The preferred static specification produces a positive estimate of 0.069 log points, while the corresponding dynamic estimates are much smaller and mostly statistically insignificant. Adding income and trade, which may operate as post-transition channels, reduces the static estimate to 0.007. A cross-validated interactive fixed-effects counterfactual estimator that conditions on income and trade also produces an imprecise average treatment effect, with no statistically significant event-time effect during the first 20 post-transition years. The point estimates differ by pre-treatment state capacity in the direction predicted by the theoretical framework, but the between-group difference is imprecisely estimated. Historical estimates using V-Dem over 1789–2015 are similarly sensitive to specification, while country-specific estimates display substantial heterogeneity. Overall, democratisation has no robust average effect on aggregate emissions across specifications, countries, and time horizons. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
|
Copyright of Economics of Governance is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
| Βάση Δεδομένων: |
Business Source Index |