Decades-ahead forecasting of disease trend leveling and decline: leveraging birth-cohort effects.

Συγγραφείς: Hsiao BY; Population Health Research Center, National Taiwan University, Taipei 100, Taiwan.; Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei 100, Taiwan., Tsai TY; Institute of Health Data Analytics and Statistics, College of Public Health, National Taiwan AU: University, Taipei 100, Taiwan., Lee WC; Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei 100, Taiwan.; Institute of Health Data Analytics and Statistics, College of Public Health, National Taiwan AU: University, Taipei 100, Taiwan.

Πηγή: American journal of epidemiology [Am J Epidemiol] 2025 Nov 04; Vol. 194 (11), pp. 3281-3289.

Τύπος έκδοσης: Journal Article

Στοιχεία περιοδικού: Publisher: Oxford University Press Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 7910653 Publication Model: Print Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1476-6256 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00029262 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Am J Epidemiol Subsets: MEDLINE

Ιατρικοί όροι (MeSH): Forecasting*/methods , Disease*, Humans ; Birth Cohort ; Cohort Effect ; Models, Statistical ; Monte Carlo Method

Time series forecasting of infant mortality rate in India using Bayesian ARIMA models.

Συγγραφείς: Singh A; Department of Sciences (Mathematics), Indian Institute of Information Technology Ranchi, Jharkhand, India. anujsingh11185@gmail.com., Tripathi T; DST-CIMS, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India., Ranjan R; DST-CIMS, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India., Tiwari AK; Department of Statistics, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.

Πηγή: BMC public health [BMC Public Health] 2025 Aug 20; Vol. 25 (1), pp. 2855. Date of Electronic Publication: 2025 Aug 20.

Τύπος έκδοσης: Journal Article

Στοιχεία περιοδικού: Publisher: BioMed Central Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 100968562 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1471-2458 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 14712458 NLM ISO Abbreviation: BMC Public Health Subsets: MEDLINE

Ιατρικοί όροι (MeSH): Bayes Theorem* , Infant Mortality* , Forecasting*/methods, India/epidemiology ; Models, Statistical ; Public Health ; Humans ; Infant, Newborn

Forecasting demand during and after supply chain disruptions using a shock smoother ETS.

Συγγραφείς: Arora, Ritika¹ (AUTHOR) r.arora3@lancaster.ac.uk, Sachs, Anna-Lena¹ (AUTHOR), Svetunkov, Ivan¹ (AUTHOR), Muth, Manuel² (AUTHOR), Boylan, John E.¹ (AUTHOR)

Πηγή: International Journal of Production Research. Nov2025, p1-27. 27p. 13 Illustrations.

Θεματικοί όροι: *SUPPLY chain disruptions, *ECONOMIC demand, *COVID-19 pandemic, *FORECASTING methodology, *FORECASTING, DEMAND forecasting, DISASTER resilience

Understanding Analysts' Use of Macroeconomic News.

Συγγραφείς: Dai, Ruiting¹ (AUTHOR), Ding, Hui² (AUTHOR) dinghui@sjtu.edu.cn, Zhang, X. Frank¹ (AUTHOR)

Πηγή: Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance. Oct2025, Vol. 40 Issue 4, p1197-1229. 33p.

Θεματικοί όροι: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *EARNINGS forecasting, *SECURITIES analysts, *STOCKS (Finance), *ECONOMIC indicators, *BUSINESS cycles, COGNITIVE bias

Forecasting global progress in breast cancer control in the context of the sustainable development goals.

Συγγραφείς: Nemutlu GS; Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; School of Business and Economics, Brandeis University, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA., Mercaldo ND; Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA., Thayumanavan E; Innovara Inc, Boca Grande, Florida, USA., Zhan T; Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA., Duggan C; Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington, USA.; Breast Health Global Initiative (BHGI), Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington, USA., Blauvelt BM; Innovara Inc, Boca Grande, Florida, USA., Chhatwal J; Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA jagchhatwal@mgh.harvard.edu.; Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Πηγή: BMJ global health [BMJ Glob Health] 2025 Jul 22; Vol. 10 (7). Date of Electronic Publication: 2025 Jul 22.

Τύπος έκδοσης: Journal Article

Στοιχεία περιοδικού: Publisher: BMJ Publishing Group Ltd Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101685275 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Print ISSN: 2059-7908 (Print) Linking ISSN: 20597908 NLM ISO Abbreviation: BMJ Glob Health Subsets: MEDLINE

Ιατρικοί όροι (MeSH): Breast Neoplasms*/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms*/mortality , Breast Neoplasms*/prevention & control , Global Health* , Sustainable Development* , Forecasting* , Global Burden of Disease*/trends, Humans ; Female ; Incidence ; Developing Countries/statistics & numerical data ; Early Detection of Cancer/trends ; Mortality/trends

Forecasting.

Συγγραφείς: Denning, Peter J.¹ (AUTHOR) pjd@nps.edu

Πηγή: Communications of the ACM. Dec2025, Vol. 68 Issue 12, p25-28. 4p.

Θεματικοί όροι: *INFORMATION technology, *FORECASTING, *FORECASTING methodology, *MATHEMATICAL models of forecasting, LANGUAGE models, TRUST

PERFORMANCE OF ALGORITHMIC MODELS AND SENSITIVITY TO CROWD CHARACTERISTICS: EVIDENCE FROM CROSS-PLATFORM POSTING.

Συγγραφείς: Ebrahimi, Reza¹ qianzhoudu@ustc.edu.cn, Du, Qianzhou² xhzhang@uwm.edu, Zhang, Xiaohui³ zhongju.zhang@asu.edu

Πηγή: MIS Quarterly. Dec2025, Vol. 49 Issue 4, p1449-1482. 34p. 5 Color Photographs, 1 Diagram, 23 Charts.

Θεματικοί όροι: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *STOCK prices, *ALGORITHMS, ONLINE chat, MACHINE learning

Π-CAPM: The Classical CAPM with Probability Weighting and Skewed Assets.

Συγγραφείς: Driessen, Joost¹ (AUTHOR), Ebert, Sebastian² (AUTHOR), Koëter, Joren³ (AUTHOR)

Πηγή: Review of Financial Studies. Dec2025, Vol. 38 Issue 12, p3497-3541. 45p.

Θεματικοί όροι: *PRICES, *FORECASTING, *MARKET volatility, *CAPITAL assets pricing model, SKEWNESS (Probability theory)

Machine learning algorithms in intermittent demand forecasting: a review.

Συγγραφείς: Giannopoulos, Panagiotis G.¹ (AUTHOR), Dasaklis, Thomas K.¹ (AUTHOR) dasaklis@eap.gr, Tsantilis, Ioannis² (AUTHOR), Patsakis, Constantinos² (AUTHOR)

Πηγή: International Journal of Production Research. Oct2025, p1-43. 43p. 9 Illustrations.

Θεματικοί όροι: *TIME series analysis, *STANDARDIZATION, MACHINE learning, DEMAND forecasting, FEATURE selection, TRANSFER of training, INDEPENDENT variables

How to Dominate the Historical Average.

Συγγραφείς: Li, Kai¹ (AUTHOR), Li, Yingying² (AUTHOR), Lyu, Changlei³ (AUTHOR), Yu, Jialin² (AUTHOR)

Πηγή: Review of Financial Studies. Oct2025, Vol. 38 Issue 10, p3086-3116. 31p.

Θεματικοί όροι: *FORECASTING, *ABNORMAL returns, *RISK premiums, *STOCKS (Finance)

Investigating demand forecasting practices and challenges in Ghana's Manufacturing Pharmaceutical (MPharma) small and medium enterprises (SMEs): insights and recommendations.

Συγγραφείς: Aidoo-Anderson, Albert¹ (AUTHOR) a.aidoo-anderson1@salford.ac.uk, Polychronakis, Yiannis¹ (AUTHOR), Sapountzis, Stylianos¹ (AUTHOR), Kelly, Stephen¹ (AUTHOR)

Πηγή: International Journal of Production Research. Nov2025, Vol. 63 Issue 21, p7899-7920. 22p.

Θεματικοί όροι: *PHARMACEUTICAL industry, *QUALITATIVE research, *INVENTORY control, *INDUSTRIAL capacity, DEMAND forecasting, GHANAIANS

Γεωγραφικοί όροι: GHANA

Climate change worry and the association with future depression and anxiety: cross-national analysis of 11 European countries.

Συγγραφείς: Collery A; College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK., Niedzwiedz CL; School of Health & Wellbeing, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK Claire.Niedzwiedz@glasgow.ac.uk.

Πηγή: BMJ mental health [BMJ Ment Health] 2025 Apr 07; Vol. 28 (1). Date of Electronic Publication: 2025 Apr 07.

Τύπος έκδοσης: Journal Article

Στοιχεία περιοδικού: Publisher: BMJ Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 9918521385306676 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2755-9734 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 27559734 NLM ISO Abbreviation: BMJ Ment Health Subsets: MEDLINE

Ιατρικοί όροι (MeSH): Forecasting* , Climate Change* , Depression*/epidemiology , Depression*/psychology , Anxiety*/epidemiology , Anxiety*/psychology , Sleep Wake Disorders*/epidemiology , Sleep Wake Disorders*/psychology, Europe/epidemiology ; Risk Factors ; Longitudinal Studies ; Logistic Models ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic ; Datasets as Topic ; Secondary Data Analysis ; Humans ; Male ; Female ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Aged

WHERE TO INVEST NOW.

Συγγραφείς: SMITH, ANNE KATES (AUTHOR) Anne.Smith@futurenet.com

Πηγή: Kiplinger Personal Finance. Jul2025, Vol. 79 Issue 7, p16-24. 8p. 2 Color Photographs, 1 Chart, 1 Graph.

Θεματικοί όροι: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *CONSUMPTION (Economics), *ECONOMIC statistics, *ECONOMIC indicators, *EARNINGS forecasting, *EXCHANGE traded funds, *TARIFF, UNITED States economy, WALL Street (New York, N.Y.)

Global or local modeling for XGBoost in geospatial studies upon simulated data and German COVID-19 infection forecasting.

Συγγραφείς: Cheng X; Department of Artificial Intelligence, Fraunhofer Heinrich Hertz Institute, 10587, Berlin, Germany. ximeng.cheng@hhi.fraunhofer.de., Ma J; Department of Artificial Intelligence, Fraunhofer Heinrich Hertz Institute, 10587, Berlin, Germany.

Πηγή: Scientific reports [Sci Rep] 2025 Mar 14; Vol. 15 (1), pp. 8858. Date of Electronic Publication: 2025 Mar 14.

Τύπος έκδοσης: Journal Article

Στοιχεία περιοδικού: Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101563288 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2045-2322 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 20452322 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Sci Rep Subsets: MEDLINE

Ιατρικοί όροι (MeSH): Boosting Machine Learning Algorithms* , COVID-19*/epidemiology , Forecasting*/methods, Humans ; Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Simulation ; Germany/epidemiology ; Machine Learning ; Models, Statistical ; SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification

Forecasting Mortality Associated Emergency Department Crowding with LightGBM and Time Series Data.

Συγγραφείς: Nevanlinna J; Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland. jalmari.nevanlinna@tuni.fi., Eidstø A; Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.; Emergency Department, Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, Finland., Ylä-Mattila J; Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.; Emergency Department, Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, Finland., Koivistoinen T; Kanta-Häme Central Hospital, Hämeenlinna, Finland., Oksala N; Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.; Centre for Vascular Surgery and Interventional Radiology, Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, Finland., Kanniainen J; Faculty of Information Technology and Communication Sciences, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland., Palomäki A; Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.; Kanta-Häme Central Hospital, Hämeenlinna, Finland., Roine A; Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.

Πηγή: Journal of medical systems [J Med Syst] 2025 Jan 15; Vol. 49 (1), pp. 9. Date of Electronic Publication: 2025 Jan 15.

Τύπος έκδοσης: Journal Article

Στοιχεία περιοδικού: Publisher: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 7806056 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1573-689X (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 01485598 NLM ISO Abbreviation: J Med Syst Subsets: MEDLINE

Ιατρικοί όροι (MeSH): Boosting Machine Learning Algorithms* , Crowding* , Emergency Service, Hospital*/statistics & numerical data , Forecasting*/methods , Hospital Mortality*/trends, Humans ; Bed Occupancy/statistics & numerical data ; Retrospective Studies ; Time Factors ; Weather

Economic burden of breast cancer in India, 2000-2021 and forecast to 2030.

Συγγραφείς: Pillai RN; Evidence Synthesis & Outcomes Research, Epi-Fractals Biosystems Technopark, 695011, Trivandrum, Kerala, India., Alex A; Evidence Synthesis & Outcomes Research, Epi-Fractals Biosystems Technopark, 695011, Trivandrum, Kerala, India., M S N; Great Lakes Institute of Management, Chennai, 603102, Tamil Nadu, India., Verma V; Department of Statistics, Assam University, Silchar, Assam, India., Shaji A; Department of Cancer Registry, Amrita Institute of Medical Sciences, Amrita Vishwa Vidhyapeetham, Kochi, Kerala, India., Pavithran K; Department of Medical Oncology and Hematology, Amrita Institute of Medical Sciences, Amrita Vishwa Vidhyapeetham, Kochi, 682041, Kerala, India., Vijaykumar DK; Department of Gynecology Oncology, Amrita Institute of Medical Sciences, Amrita Vishwa Vidhyapeetham, Kochi, Kerala, India., John D; Faculty of Life and Allied Health Sciences, MS Ramiah University of Applied Sciences (RUAS), MSR Nagar, New BEL Road, Bangalore, 560054, India. dennyjohn.ah.ls@msruas.ac.in.

Πηγή: Scientific reports [Sci Rep] 2025 Jan 08; Vol. 15 (1), pp. 1323. Date of Electronic Publication: 2025 Jan 08.

Τύπος έκδοσης: Journal Article

Στοιχεία περιοδικού: Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101563288 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2045-2322 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 20452322 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Sci Rep Subsets: MEDLINE

Ιατρικοί όροι (MeSH): Breast Neoplasms*/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms*/economics , Cost of Illness* , Forecasting*, Humans ; India/epidemiology ; Female ; Prevalence ; Global Burden of Disease/trends ; Models, Statistical

Forecasting cardiovascular disease mortality using artificial neural networks in Sindh, Pakistan.

Συγγραφείς: Qureshi M; Govt Degree College TangoJam, Hyderabad 70060, Sindh, Pakistan.; Department of Statistics, Quaid-i-Azam University, 45320, Islamabad, Pakistan., Ishaq K; Ibn-e-Sina Medical University Mirpurkhas, Sindh, Pakistan., Daniyal M; Department of Statistics, Faculty of Computing, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Bahawalpur, Pakistan., Iftikhar H; Department of Statistics, Quaid-i-Azam University, 45320, Islamabad, Pakistan. hasnain@stat.qau.edu.pk.; Al-Barkaat Institute of Management Studies, Aligarh 202122, Dr. A. P. J. Abdul Kalam Technical University, Lucknow 226010, India. hasnain@stat.qau.edu.pk., Rehman MZ; Department of Finance, College of Business Administration, King Saud University, P.O. Box 71115, Riyadh, 11587, Saudi Arabia., Salar SAA; Al-Barkaat Institute of Management Studies, Aligarh 202122, Dr. A. P. J. Abdul Kalam Technical University, Lucknow 226010, India.

Πηγή: BMC public health [BMC Public Health] 2025 Jan 04; Vol. 25 (1), pp. 34. Date of Electronic Publication: 2025 Jan 04.

Τύπος έκδοσης: Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Στοιχεία περιοδικού: Publisher: BioMed Central Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 100968562 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1471-2458 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 14712458 NLM ISO Abbreviation: BMC Public Health Subsets: MEDLINE

Ιατρικοί όροι (MeSH): Cardiovascular Diseases*/mortality , Neural Networks, Computer* , Forecasting*, Pakistan/epidemiology ; Humans ; Male ; Female

Explainable artificial intelligence for reliable water demand forecasting to increase trust in predictions.

Συγγραφείς: Maußner C; Fraunhofer Austria Research GmbH KI4LIFE, Lakeside B13a, 9020 Klagenfurt am Wörthersee, Austria., Oberascher M; Unit of Environmental Engineering, Department of Infrastructure Engineering, University of Innsbruck, Technikerstraße 13, Innsbruck 6020, Austria., Autengruber A; Department for Public Law, Constitutional and Administrative Theory, University of Innsbruck, Innrain 52d, Innsbruck 6020, Austria., Kahl A; Department for Public Law, Constitutional and Administrative Theory, University of Innsbruck, Innrain 52d, Innsbruck 6020, Austria., Sitzenfrei R; Unit of Environmental Engineering, Department of Infrastructure Engineering, University of Innsbruck, Technikerstraße 13, Innsbruck 6020, Austria. Electronic address: robert.sitzenfrei@uibk.ac.at.

Πηγή: Water research [Water Res] 2025 Jan 01; Vol. 268 (Pt B), pp. 122779. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Nov 09.

Τύπος έκδοσης: Journal Article

Στοιχεία περιοδικού: Publisher: Pergamon Press Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 0105072 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1879-2448 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00431354 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Water Res Subsets: MEDLINE

Ιατρικοί όροι (MeSH): Artificial Intelligence* , Forecasting* , Water Supply*, Models, Theoretical ; Machine Learning

The Spillover of Shareholder Litigation Risk and Corporate Voluntary Disclosure.

Συγγραφείς: Miao, Senlin¹ (AUTHOR), Ai, Mengchao² (AUTHOR), Bai, John³ (AUTHOR) j.bai@northeastern.edu, Chen, Ting⁴ (AUTHOR), Sun, Amy X.⁵ (AUTHOR)

Πηγή: Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance. Jul2025, Vol. 40 Issue 3, p799-831. 33p.

Θεματικοί όροι: *EARNINGS management, *EARNINGS forecasting, *DISCLOSURE, LEGAL judgments, CROSS-sectional method

The missing puzzle piece: contextual insights for enhanced pharmaceutical supply chain forecasting.

Συγγραφείς: Bilal, Arebu Issa¹ (AUTHOR) arebu.issa@aau.edu.et, Rostami-Tabar, Bahman² (AUTHOR), Hewage, Harsha Halgamuwe² (AUTHOR), Bititci, Umit Sezer³ (AUTHOR), Fenta, Teferi Gedif¹ (AUTHOR)

Πηγή: International Journal of Production Research. Aug2025, p1-19. 19p. 6 Illustrations.

Θεματικοί όροι: *FORECASTING, *INVENTORY control, *PHARMACEUTICAL industry suppliers, DISEASE outbreaks, SITUATIONAL awareness, MACHINE learning, STATISTICAL models