Developing, Testing, and Communicating Earthquake Forecasts: Current Practices and Future Directions

Authors: Mizrahi L, Dallo I, van der Elst NJ, Christophersen A, Spassiani I, Werner MJ, Iturrieta P, Bayona J, Iervolino I, Schneider M, Page MT, Zhuang J, Herrmann M, Michael AJ, Falcone G, Marzocchi W, Rhoades D, Gerstenberger M, Gulia L, Schorlemmer D, Becker J, Han M, Kuratle L, Marti M, Wiemer S

Subject Terms: We capture the state of earthquake forecasting systems in Italy, New Zealand, and the United States, and future plans in these and other countries, Experts encourage benchmark comparison, prospective testing, reproducibility and transparency, but avoid endorsing specific models or tests, Experts stress the need to co-design forecast communication products with end-users to ensure their societal relevance and usefulness

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Relation: Reviews of Geophysics; Mizrahi L, Dallo I, van der Elst NJ, Christophersen A, Spassiani I, Werner MJ, Iturrieta P, Bayona J, Iervolino I, Schneider M, Page MT, Zhuang J, Herrmann M, Michael AJ, Falcone G, Marzocchi W, Rhoades D, Gerstenberger M, Gulia L, Schorlemmer D, Becker J, Han M, Kuratle L, Marti M, Wiemer S. (2024). Developing, Testing, and Communicating Earthquake Forecasts: Current Practices and Future Directions. Reviews of Geophysics. 62. 3.; https://mro.massey.ac.nz/handle/10179/72023; e2023RG000823

Availability: https://mro.massey.ac.nz/handle/10179/72023
https://doi.org/10.1029/2023RG000823